Why Movable Type and Wordpress will fail if they don’t stop flinging poo
Wednesday, March 12th, 2008
Mudslinging starts between two platforms that have great features, but are still inferior to using emacs or vi for quick updates. 
Short and Sweet: Root cause is the lack of retail sales has cooled the social networking advertising revenue significantly, so Internet wealth cycles are harder to predict or control, therefore frustrating companies who are used to pointing, clicking, farting and making money.
If you want to see the apparent cause (symptoms), keep reading…
It all started when Anil made an excellent case for upgrading to Movable Type (yes, some tongue in cheek, but some good points all the same).
Then, there was a group of people defending the hours and hours they have spent troubleshooting their WordPress installs and upgrades … ya, it’s called Pride of Ownership. (”it’s good because I spent tons of hours looking at it” — just like the people who say “i spent twice as much so it is twice as good”)
… um,right.
Both sides Anil and Matt are making good points in the comments, but both are too entrenched in VC Doo Doo to merge their platforms for a sleek new product. So, what you are witnessing is atrophy due to cash flow problems (which I discussed earlier), but a good buying opportunity after either property becomes financially distressed.
What’s worse?
Both groups of VCs backing these operations will invite more “conflict” — er, bickering — in hopes that the media will pick up the story and generate buzz noise. That’s business, but here’s the kicker:
If they do not find a way to improve overall user experience, both will lose to Google’s brand spankin’ new Blogger.com platform.
Please note. I’m not a blog expert. I am a computational linguist specializing in semantics and user-centered information retrieval. I don’t know anything about blogging.
You’ll have to see it yourself …
Remember, hedge funds cannot bail out Web 2.0 companies anymore.
It is sink or swim as commercial paper becomes rotten and lackluster retail sales take the wind out of blanket advertising on blogs.
Hedge funds are pouring money into things that are real. Uh, like gold and wheat.
The funds that do not survive the credit problem, will fail FAST.
